The 2013 hurricane season is being predicted to have more activity than the median 1981-2010 seasons. They estimate about 9 hurricanes, 18 named storms, 95 named storm days, 40 hurricane days, 4 major hurricanes and 9 major hurricane days. The probability for one major hurricane tracking into the Caribbean is 61% (average for the last century is 42%).

The predictions indicate that significant warming has occurred across the tropical Atlantic during the past two months and the El Nino atmospheric force that inhibits storm formation is not likely to emerge this season which runs from June 1 to November 30.