WHCA31 TAPA
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES
SATURDAY, SEP 3, 2022
THIS IS FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS…
A TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. A TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT MEANS THAT, IN THIS CASE, A TROPICAL STORM IS IN OUR MONITORED AREA OF CONCERN BUT A WATCH OR WARNING IS NOT REQUIRED, AT THIS TIME.
๐๐๐ฆ๐๐ ๐ข๐ก ๐ง๐๐ ๐๐๐ง๐๐ฆ๐ง ๐๐ข๐ฅ๐๐๐๐ฆ๐ง ๐ง๐ฅ๐๐๐, ๐ง๐ฅ๐ข๐ฃ๐๐๐๐ ๐ฆ๐ง๐ข๐ฅ๐ ๐๐๐ฅ๐ ๐๐ฆ ๐๐ข๐ฅ๐๐๐๐ฆ๐ง ๐ง๐ข ๐ฃ๐๐ฆ๐ฆ ๐๐ฃ๐ฃ๐ฅ๐ข๐ซ๐๐ ๐๐ง๐๐๐ฌ ๐ฒ๐ฌ ๐ ๐๐๐๐ฆ ๐ก๐ข๐ฅ๐ง๐๐๐๐ฆ๐ง ๐ข๐ ๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ฉ๐ ๐๐๐ฅ๐๐ฌ ๐ง๐ข๐ ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ข๐ช ๐ฆ๐จ๐ก๐๐๐ฌ.
THE STORM-FORCE WINDS, WHICH ARE MAINLY LOCATED TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER, ARE NOT EXPECTED OVER THE BVI; HOWEVER, THERE REMAIN A MODERATE THREAT TO MARINE ACTIVITY BECAUSE OF INCOMING SWELLS AROUND THE BVI.
AT 5PM THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH, LONGITUDE 63.2 WEST. OR ABOUT 150 MILES NORTHWEST OF BARBUDA, ABOUT 76 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF ANGUILLA AND ABOUT 111 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE BVI.
EARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH (20 KM/H) AND A SLOWER WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH ON TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF EARL IS EXPECTED TO PASS NORTH OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH (65 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES (280 KM), MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER WHILE THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB (29.50 INCHES).
RESIDENTS IN THE BVI ARE ADVISED TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EARL AS ANY SOUTHWARD SHIFT OF THE CENTER WOULD INCREASE THE THREAT OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS REACHING, THOSE ISLANDS.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES, ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF THE LEEWARD AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS THROUGH THIS WEEKEND WHICH COULD CAUSE MINOR FLASH FLOODING IN SOME ISLANDS.
STRONG GUSTY WINDS, ESPECIALLY IN SQUALLS, ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE THESE ISLANDS; ADDITIONALLY, SWELLS REACHING BETWEEN 5 TO 8 FEET COULD PRODUCE HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS FOR BEACH-GOERS IN THE BVI DURING THE WEEKEND; HENCE, MARINE ADVISORIES ARE NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE BVI.
RESIDENTS MAINLY IN THE BVI ARE ADVISED TO CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL STORM EARL THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE AT 11 PM E.T.C TONIGHT.
FORECASTER
LENARD JOSIAH
๐๐ ๐๐ต๐ถ๐ ๐๐ถ๐บ๐ฒ ๐๐ต๐ถ๐ ๐๐๐๐๐ฒ๐บ ๐ถ๐ ๐ฐ๐๐ฟ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ป๐๐น๐ ๐ป๐ผ ๐๐ต๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ ๐๐ผ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฉ๐ถ๐ฟ๐ด๐ถ๐ป ๐๐๐น๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ๐, ๐๐ต๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐ป๐ผ ๐๐ฎ๐๐ฐ๐ต๐ฒ๐ ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ป๐ถ๐ป๐ด๐ ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฉ๐ถ๐ฟ๐ด๐ถ๐ป ๐๐๐น๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ๐. ๐ฃ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐๐ผ๐ป๐ ๐บ๐๐๐ ๐ฐ๐ผ๐ป๐๐ถ๐ป๐๐ฒ ๐๐ผ ๐บ๐ผ๐ป๐ถ๐๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐๐น๐ฎ๐ป๐๐ถ๐ฐ ๐ถ๐ป ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐ฎ๐ป๐ ๐ฐ๐ต๐ฎ๐ป๐ด๐ฒ ๐๐ถ๐๐ต ๐๐ต๐ถ๐ ๐๐๐๐๐ฒ๐บ.
๐๐ผ๐ป๐๐ถ๐ป๐๐ฒ ๐๐ผ ๐ฐ๐ต๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ธ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐๐ ๐ฎ๐ฝ๐ฝ , ๐๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ฒ๐ฏ๐ผ๐ผ๐ธ, ๐๐ป๐๐๐ฎ๐ด๐ฟ๐ฎ๐บ, ๐ง๐๐ถ๐๐๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐ฝ๐ฎ๐ด๐ฒ๐ ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐ผ๐๐ฟ ๐๐ฒ๐ฏ๐๐ถ๐๐ฒ ๐๐๐.๐ฏ๐๐ถ๐ฑ๐ฑ๐บ.๐ฐ๐ผ๐บ/ ๐ฑ๐ฎ๐ถ๐น๐ ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐ฝ๐ฑ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐.
๐ฟ๐๐จ๐๐ก๐๐๐ข๐๐ง: ๐๐๐ ๐ฟ๐๐ฅ๐๐ง๐ฉ๐ข๐๐ฃ๐ฉ ๐ค๐ ๐ฟ๐๐จ๐๐จ๐ฉ๐๐ง ๐๐๐ฃ๐๐๐๐ข๐๐ฃ๐ฉ (๐ฟ๐ฟ๐) ๐๐จ ๐ฃ๐ค๐ฉ ๐๐ฃ ๐ค๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ก ๐๐๐ฉ๐๐ค๐ง๐ค๐ก๐ค๐๐๐๐๐ก ๐๐๐๐๐๐. ๐๐๐ ๐๐ฃ๐๐ค๐ง๐ข๐๐ฉ๐๐ค๐ฃ ๐๐๐จ๐จ๐๐ข๐๐ฃ๐๐ฉ๐๐ ๐๐ฎ ๐ฉ๐๐ ๐ฟ๐๐ฅ๐๐ง๐ฉ๐ข๐๐ฃ๐ฉ ๐๐จ ๐๐๐ฉ๐๐๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ง๐ค๐ข ๐ ๐ฃ๐ช๐ข๐๐๐ง ๐ค๐ ๐ฅ๐ง๐ค๐๐๐จ๐จ๐๐ค๐ฃ๐๐ก ๐จ๐ค๐ช๐ง๐๐๐จ ๐ช๐จ๐๐ ๐ค๐ง ๐๐ค๐ฃ๐ฉ๐ง๐๐๐ฉ๐๐ ๐๐ฎ ๐ฉ๐๐ ๐ฟ๐ฟ๐ ๐ฉ๐ค ๐๐ข๐ฅ๐ง๐ค๐ซ๐๐๐ ๐จ๐ช๐๐ ๐๐ฃ๐๐ค๐ง๐ข๐๐ฉ๐๐ค๐ฃ. ๐๐๐๐จ ๐๐ฃ๐๐ค๐ง๐ข๐๐ฉ๐๐ค๐ฃ ๐๐จ ๐ฉ๐ค ๐๐ ๐ช๐จ๐๐ ๐๐จ ๐ ๐๐ช๐๐๐ ๐๐ฎ ๐๐ฃ๐ฎ๐ค๐ฃ๐ ๐ฌ๐๐ค ๐๐๐จ ๐๐ฃ๐ฉ๐๐ง๐๐จ๐ฉ ๐๐ฃ ๐ก๐ค๐๐๐ก ๐ฌ๐๐๐ฉ๐๐๐ง ๐๐ค๐ฃ๐๐๐ฉ๐๐ค๐ฃ๐จ. ๐ฝ๐ฎ ๐ฃ๐ค ๐ข๐๐๐ฃ๐จ ๐๐๐ฃ ๐ฟ๐ฟ๐ ๐ค๐ง ๐ฉ๐๐ ๐ฝ๐๐ ๐๐ค๐ซ๐๐ง๐ฃ๐ข๐๐ฃ๐ฉ ๐๐ ๐๐๐ก๐ ๐๐๐๐ค๐ช๐ฃ๐ฉ๐๐๐ก๐ ๐๐ฎ ๐๐ฃ๐ฎ๐ค๐ฃ๐ ๐ฌ๐๐ค ๐ช๐จ๐๐จ ๐ฉ๐๐๐จ ๐๐ฃ๐๐ค๐ง๐ข๐๐ฉ๐๐ค๐ฃ ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ง๐ค๐ฅ๐ง๐๐๐ฉ๐๐ก๐ฎ ๐๐ค๐ง ๐ก๐๐๐๐ก ๐๐ซ๐๐๐๐ฃ๐๐ ๐ค๐ง ๐๐ฃ ๐๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐๐๐๐๐๐ฉ๐๐ค๐ฃ ๐ค๐ ๐๐ฃ๐ฎ ๐๐๐๐๐จ๐๐ค๐ฃ ๐ฌ๐๐๐๐ ๐ข๐๐ฎ ๐ง๐๐จ๐ช๐ก๐ฉ ๐๐ฃ ๐ฉ๐๐ ๐ก๐ค๐จ๐จ ๐ค๐ ๐๐๐ฃ๐๐ฃ๐๐๐จ, ๐ฅ๐ง๐ค๐ฅ๐๐ง๐ฉ๐ฎ ๐ค๐ง ๐ก๐๐๐..
