…๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐…๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐ ๐๐ ๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐ ๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐…
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST…1500 UTC…INFORMATION———————————————–
LOCATION…15.3N 49.3W
ABOUT 840 MILES…1350 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
ABOUT 883 MILESโฆ1421 KM E OF ROAD TOWN
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…35 MPH…55 KM/
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 280 DEGREES AT 21 MPH…33 KM/
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1010 MB…29.83 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS——————–CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
๐๐ก๐ ๐ ๐จ๐ฏ๐๐ซ๐ง๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐ ๐ฎ๐ ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐๐ซ๐๐ฎ๐๐ ๐ก๐๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐๐ ๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฉ๐ข๐๐๐ฅ ๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐๐ญ๐๐ก ๐๐จ๐ซ ๐๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐ ๐ฎ๐ ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐๐ซ๐๐ฎ๐๐, ๐๐ญ. ๐๐ข๐ญ๐ญ๐ฌ ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐ฌ, ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐ฌ๐๐ซ๐ซ๐๐ญ.
๐๐ก๐ ๐ ๐จ๐ฏ๐๐ซ๐ง๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐จ๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐๐๐ญ๐ก๐๐ซ๐ฅ๐๐ง๐๐ฌ ๐ก๐๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐๐ ๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฉ๐ข๐๐๐ฅ ๐๐ญ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ ๐๐๐ญ๐๐ก ๐๐จ๐ซ ๐๐๐๐ ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐ข๐ง๐ญ ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ญ๐๐ญ๐ข๐ฎ๐ฌ.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere in the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico should monitor the progress of this system.ย Tropical Storm Watches will possibly be required for these areas later today or tonight.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK———————-
The disturbance was centered near latitude 15.3 North, longitude 49.3 West.ย The system is moving toward the west near 21 mph (33 km/h), and this general motion with a gradual decrease in forward speed is expected into early next week.ย On the forecast track, the system is expected to approach the Leeward Islands on Saturday, move over the Leeward Islands Saturday night and Sunday, and then be near the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico Sunday night and Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days,ย and the disturbance is expected to become a tropical depression tonight and a tropical storm by Saturday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…80 percent.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb (29.83 inches).
๐๐ผ๐ป๐๐ถ๐ป๐๐ฒ ๐๐ผ ๐ฐ๐ต๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ธ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐๐ ๐ฎ๐ฝ๐ฝ , ๐๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ฒ๐ฏ๐ผ๐ผ๐ธ, ๐๐ป๐๐๐ฎ๐ด๐ฟ๐ฎ๐บ, ๐ง๐๐ถ๐๐๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐ฝ๐ฎ๐ด๐ฒ๐ ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐ผ๐๐ฟ ๐๐ฒ๐ฏ๐๐ถ๐๐ฒ ๐๐๐.๐ฏ๐๐ถ๐ฑ๐ฑ๐บ.๐ฐ๐ผ๐บ/ ๐ฑ๐ฎ๐ถ๐น๐ ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐ฝ๐ฑ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐.
๐ฟ๐๐จ๐๐ก๐๐๐ข๐๐ง: ๐๐๐ ๐ฟ๐๐ฅ๐๐ง๐ฉ๐ข๐๐ฃ๐ฉ ๐ค๐ ๐ฟ๐๐จ๐๐จ๐ฉ๐๐ง ๐๐๐ฃ๐๐๐๐ข๐๐ฃ๐ฉ (๐ฟ๐ฟ๐) ๐๐จ ๐ฃ๐ค๐ฉ ๐๐ฃ ๐ค๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ก ๐๐๐ฉ๐๐ค๐ง๐ค๐ก๐ค๐๐๐๐๐ก ๐๐๐๐๐๐. ๐๐๐ ๐๐ฃ๐๐ค๐ง๐ข๐๐ฉ๐๐ค๐ฃ ๐๐๐จ๐จ๐๐ข๐๐ฃ๐๐ฉ๐๐ ๐๐ฎ ๐ฉ๐๐ ๐ฟ๐๐ฅ๐๐ง๐ฉ๐ข๐๐ฃ๐ฉ ๐๐จ ๐๐๐ฉ๐๐๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ง๐ค๐ข ๐ ๐ฃ๐ช๐ข๐๐๐ง ๐ค๐ ๐ฅ๐ง๐ค๐๐๐จ๐จ๐๐ค๐ฃ๐๐ก ๐จ๐ค๐ช๐ง๐๐๐จ ๐ช๐จ๐๐ ๐ค๐ง ๐๐ค๐ฃ๐ฉ๐ง๐๐๐ฉ๐๐ ๐๐ฎ ๐ฉ๐๐ ๐ฟ๐ฟ๐ ๐ฉ๐ค ๐๐ข๐ฅ๐ง๐ค๐ซ๐๐๐ ๐จ๐ช๐๐ ๐๐ฃ๐๐ค๐ง๐ข๐๐ฉ๐๐ค๐ฃ. ๐๐๐๐จ ๐๐ฃ๐๐ค๐ง๐ข๐๐ฉ๐๐ค๐ฃ ๐๐จ ๐ฉ๐ค ๐๐ ๐ช๐จ๐๐ ๐๐จ ๐ ๐๐ช๐๐๐ ๐๐ฎ ๐๐ฃ๐ฎ๐ค๐ฃ๐ ๐ฌ๐๐ค ๐๐๐จ ๐๐ฃ๐ฉ๐๐ง๐๐จ๐ฉ ๐๐ฃ ๐ก๐ค๐๐๐ก ๐ฌ๐๐๐ฉ๐๐๐ง ๐๐ค๐ฃ๐๐๐ฉ๐๐ค๐ฃ๐จ. ๐ฝ๐ฎ ๐ฃ๐ค ๐ข๐๐๐ฃ๐จ ๐๐๐ฃย ๐ฟ๐ฟ๐ ๐ค๐ง ๐ฉ๐๐ ๐ฝ๐๐ ๐๐ค๐ซ๐๐ง๐ฃ๐ข๐๐ฃ๐ฉ ๐๐ ๐๐๐ก๐ ๐๐๐๐ค๐ช๐ฃ๐ฉ๐๐๐ก๐ ๐๐ฎ ๐๐ฃ๐ฎ๐ค๐ฃ๐ ๐ฌ๐๐ค ๐ช๐จ๐๐จ ๐ฉ๐๐๐จ ๐๐ฃ๐๐ค๐ง๐ข๐๐ฉ๐๐ค๐ฃ ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ง๐ค๐ฅ๐ง๐๐๐ฉ๐๐ก๐ฎ ๐๐ค๐ง ๐ก๐๐๐๐ก ๐๐ซ๐๐๐๐ฃ๐๐ ๐ค๐ง ๐๐ฃ ๐๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐๐๐๐๐๐ฉ๐๐ค๐ฃ ๐ค๐ ๐๐ฃ๐ฎ ๐๐๐๐๐จ๐๐ค๐ฃ ๐ฌ๐๐๐๐ ๐ข๐๐ฎ ๐ง๐๐จ๐ช๐ก๐ฉ ๐๐ฃ ๐ฉ๐๐ ๐ก๐ค๐จ๐จ ๐ค๐ ๐๐๐ฃ๐๐ฃ๐๐๐จ, ๐ฅ๐ง๐ค๐ฅ๐๐ง๐ฉ๐ฎ ๐ค๐ง ๐ก๐๐๐..